Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.94%) and 0-1 (5.86%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
29.91% ( -1.14) | 21.65% ( 0.08) | 48.44% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 67.72% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.37% ( -1.09) | 31.63% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.87% ( -1.3) | 53.13% ( 1.3) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.43% ( -1.18) | 21.56% ( 1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.35% ( -1.84) | 54.64% ( 1.84) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.34% ( -0.06) | 13.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.14% ( -0.12) | 40.85% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.51% Total : 29.91% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.94% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |