Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
54.38% ( -0.06) | 23.09% ( -0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 55.08% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( 0.2) | 45.04% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( 0.19) | 67.39% ( -0.19) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.53% ( 0.05) | 16.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.82% ( 0.09) | 46.18% ( -0.09) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( 0.18) | 34.05% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.26% ( 0.2) | 70.74% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.37% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 22.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |