MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 00:24:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Livingston logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston

Watkins (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangare (85'), George (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston

Kilmarnock earned a respectable point at Motherwell last time out, and with January arrival Van Veen set for his full debut, the hosts will be confident of easing past Livingston on Wednesday. The Lions will have more chances to impress in an attacking sense than they did at Ibrox on the weekend, nevertheless we feel that the end result will be the same at Rugby Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
66.54% (-0.873 -0.87) 19.76% (0.453 0.45) 13.7% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-1.047 -1.05)44.75% (1.048 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-1.018 -1.02)67.11% (1.019 1.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (-0.553 -0.55)12.54% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-1.162 -1.16)38.59% (1.164 1.16)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)44.16% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)80.25% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 66.54%
    Livingston 13.7%
    Draw 19.76%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.26% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 66.54%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.219 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.76%
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 13.7%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston

Kilmarnock
93.5%
Draw
0.0%
Livingston
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 18
Livingston
0-0
Kilmarnock
Devlin (77'), Obileye (86')
Deas (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Kilmarnock
3-1
Livingston
Armstrong (16'), Vassell (42', 60')
Watson (38'), Lyons (50')
Kelly (35' pen.)
Devlin (38')
May 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Kilmarnock
2-0
Livingston
Vassell (48'), Armstrong (64' pen.)
Wright (11')

Kelly (49'), Holt (64'), de Lucas (89')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Livingston
3-1
Kilmarnock
Nouble (10'), Anderson (12'), Kelly (29')
Doidge (47')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Kilmarnock
2-3
Livingston
Wright (4', 45+2')
Anderson (39'), Kelly (61' pen.), Stokes (75' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Aberdeen00000000
2Celtic00000000
3Dundee00000000
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd00000000
5Hearts00000000
6Hibernian00000000
7Kilmarnock00000000
8Motherwell00000000
9RangersRangers00000000
10Ross County00000000
11St Johnstone00000000
12St Mirren00000000


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