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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Napoli logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Napoli

Retegui (16'), Lookman (55')
Djimsiti (64'), Ruggeri (66'), Scalvini (76'), Hien (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Politano (27'), McTominay (40'), Lukaku (78')
Neres (42'), Conte (74'), McTominay (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-1 Napoli

Chasers Atalanta excel at home, while Serie A leaders Napoli are a force to be reckoned with on the road. Therefore, an intense contest between two of Italy's most respected coaches could end with the spoils shared, perhaps handing an advantage to Inter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
44.7% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.94% (-0.123 -0.12) 29.35% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.26% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (0.551 0.55)51.74% (-0.55099999999999 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (0.474 0.47)73.51% (-0.474 -0.47)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.23800000000001 0.24)23.07% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.349 0.35)56.91% (-0.349 -0.35)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.375 0.38)32.07% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.424 0.42)68.54% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 44.7%
    Napoli 29.36%
    Draw 25.94%
Atalanta BCDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.05 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli

Atalanta BC
30.2%
Draw
39.6%
Napoli
30.2%
149
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Retegui (90+2'), Mazzocchi (90+3')
Lookman (10', 31'), Retegui (90+2')
Kolasinac (65'), Djimsiti (90+4')
Mar 30, 2024 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Napoli
0-3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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