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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Bologna logo

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Bologna

Saponara (19')
Julio (29'), Mandragora (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsolini (14' pen.), Posch (47')
Orsolini (18'), Schouten (53'), Dominguez (67'), Lucumi (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Spezia
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna

Despite running into some good form of late, Bologna do not tend to travel well and are still burdened by a long injury list. Boosted by recent results, Fiorentina can therefore claim a win to take them above their visitors in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBologna
69.61% (1.387 1.39) 17.7% (-0.46 -0.46) 12.69% (-0.928 -0.93)
Both teams to score 53.14% (-1.134 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.39% (-0.102 -0.1)37.61% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.16% (-0.11000000000001 -0.11)59.84% (0.109 0.11)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.27% (0.30600000000001 0.31)9.73% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.6% (0.71299999999999 0.71)32.4% (-0.714 -0.71)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-1.461 -1.46)41.13% (1.459 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-1.322 -1.32)77.67% (1.321 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 69.61%
    Bologna 12.69%
    Draw 17.7%
FiorentinaDrawBologna
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.375 0.38)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.92% (0.281 0.28)
4-1 @ 4.37% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 2.29% (0.159 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.04% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 8.28% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.7%
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.69%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Bologna

Fiorentina
72.5%
Draw
13.7%
Bologna
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 2pm
Mar 13, 2022 11.30am
Fiorentina
1-0
Bologna
Torreira (70')
Torreira (76')

Bonifazi (23'), Soumaoro (73'), Hickey (86'), Sansone (90+3')
Bonifazi (41')
Dec 5, 2021 11.30am
Bologna
2-3
Fiorentina
Barrow (42'), Hickey (83')
Dominguez (24'), Theate (50'), Soumaoro (90+4')
Maleh (33'), Biraghi (51'), Vlahovic (67' pen.)
Torreira (25'), Milenkovic (64'), Amrabat (90')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Bologna
3-3
Fiorentina
Palacio (31', 71', 84')
Soumaoro (20'), Svanberg (47')
Vlahovic (21' pen., 74'), Bonaventura (64')
Milenkovic (76'), Julio (79')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Fiorentina
0-0
Bologna

Julio (8'), Pezzella (71'), Bonaventura (90+2'), Kouame (90+4')

De Silvestri (4'), Schouten (28'), Dominguez (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810


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