Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 15, 2023 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
We said: Udinese 2-1 Bologna
With Bologna missing several key players through injury and suspension, Udinese could hardly have asked for a better chance to end their lengthy winless run in Serie A.
While we do not expect Sottil's side to win at a canter given their recent struggles in terms of claiming all three points, we do expect them to do so, particularly if Deulofeu is passed fit to start as expected.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 51.52% . A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 23.89% .
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.28%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%) , while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (7.13%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood .
Result Udinese Draw Bologna 51.52% ( -0.66) 24.59% ( -0) 23.89% ( 0.67)
Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.76)
50% ( 0.64) 50% ( -0.64)
28.02% ( 0.57) 71.98% ( -0.57)
80.6% ( -0.02) 19.39% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.79% ( -0.03) 51.2% ( 0.03)
64.44% ( 0.96) 35.56% ( -0.96)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.67% ( 0.98) 72.33% ( -0.98)
Udinese 51.52%
Bologna 23.89%
Draw 24.59%
Udinese Draw Bologna 1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 51.52% 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.59% 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.89%
How you voted: Udinese vs Bologna
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