Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
50.69% | 23.69% | 25.61% |
Both teams to score 56.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.36% | 44.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33% | 67.01% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% | 17.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.71% | 48.29% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% | 31.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% | 67.54% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-0 @ 4.79% 3-2 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 6.48% 0-1 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |