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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
4 - 0
AC Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Thursday, January 19 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan

With both managers intent on controlling possession and playing offensive styles, this should be an entertaining clash between two of Italy's biggest clubs. However, Immobile's injury could prove pivotal in terms of influencing the result, with Milan always a potent threat in transition on the road. As such, we can envisage an important away win for Pioli's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
33.33% (1.331 1.33) 25.3% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 41.37% (-1.38 -1.38)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.184 0.18)47.53% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.172 0.17)69.74% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.934 0.93)27.27% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (1.198 1.2)62.7% (-1.199 -1.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.586 -0.59)22.85% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.87200000000001 -0.87)56.59% (0.871 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 33.33%
    AC Milan 41.37%
    Draw 25.29%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.33%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.37%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
19.5%
Draw
18.1%
AC Milan
62.4%
226
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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