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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Cagliari

Pedro (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari

The pressure is on Lazio to produce, as they face promoted opponents and have plenty of catching up to do in Serie A. Last term's runners-up are also without half of their first-choice back four, but Cagliari can be caught out defensively and will surely suffer the same fate as Celtic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
48.73% (-0.155 -0.16) 25.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 25.53% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (-0.15 -0.15)53.23% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-0.13 -0.13)74.79% (0.125 0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.131 -0.13)21.86% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.198 -0.2)55.1% (0.195 0.2)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 48.73%
    Cagliari 25.53%
    Draw 25.74%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Cagliari
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')
Sep 26, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Lazio

Marin (51')
Lazzari (4'), Immobile (74')
Leiva (61')
Jul 23, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')
Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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