We said: Lazio 3-1 Sampdoria
Riding the momentum from last week's fightback, Lazio also have the greater need for victory in this encounter and will go in all guns blazing on Saturday night.
Samp's season has been underwhelming, to say the least, and as they do not travel particularly well either, an 11th away loss of the campaign should be expected.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 69.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.