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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Udinese logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Udinese

Espeto (62' pen.)
Blin (35'), Espeto (51'), Gonzalez (85'), Ceesay (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bijol (7'), Perez (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-2 Udinese

Battling for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Lecce are expected to put up a decent fight on Friday, but Udinese should have enough quality to inflict an eighth defeat in nine matches on the relegation strugglers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawUdinese
41.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 27.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 31.3% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.94% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)57.06% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.94% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.76% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.24% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.33% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)62.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)33.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (-0.012 -0.01)70.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.19%
    Udinese 31.3%
    Draw 27.5%
LecceDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 41.19%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.3%

How you voted: Lecce vs Udinese

Lecce
27.3%
Draw
16.7%
Udinese
56.1%
66
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 13
Udinese
1-1
Lecce
Beto (68')
Deulofeu (37')
Colombo (33')
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 37
Udinese
1-2
Lecce
Samir (36')
Sema (86')
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')
Jan 6, 2020 5pm
gameweek 18
Lecce
0-1
Udinese

Liverani (78'), Gabriel (89')
De Paul (88')
De Paul (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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