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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Napoli logo

Lecce
1 - 2
Napoli

Di Francesco (52')
Gendrey (62'), Umtiti (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
Ndombele (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Lecce
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-4 AC Milan
Sunday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Napoli

Goal-shy Lecce are perhaps the ideal opponents for Napoli to face following their implosion last weekend. If they quickly return to keeping the back door shut, the league leaders should secure victory at Via del Mare, where their hosts have not won since January. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.51%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawNapoli
11.16% (-0.013 -0.01) 19.35% (0.049000000000003 0.05) 69.49% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.63% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-0.229 -0.23)48.96% (0.228 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-0.208 -0.21)71.05% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.98% (-0.167 -0.17)51.02% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.65% (-0.114 -0.11)85.35% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)12.96% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.56% (-0.162 -0.16)39.44% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 11.16%
    Napoli 69.49%
    Draw 19.35%
LecceDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 4.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 3.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 11.16%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 19.35%
0-2 @ 13.8% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 13.51% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 9.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 9.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.33% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 69.49%

How you voted: Lecce vs Napoli

Lecce
7.5%
Draw
9.0%
Napoli
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 9, 2020 2pm
Napoli
2-3
Lecce
Milik (48'), Callejon (90')
Koulibaly (37'), Zielinski (57'), Milik (73'), Rui (80'), Demme (84')
Lapadula (29', 61'), Mancosu (82')
Rispoli (66'), Vigorito (78'), Petriccione (85')
Sep 22, 2019 2pm
Lecce
1-4
Napoli
Mancosu (61' pen.)
Tachtsidis (37'), Gabriel (38'), Tabanelli (49')
Llorente (28', 82'), Insigne (40' pen.), Fabian (52')
Ghoulam (22'), Elmas (45'), Fabian (53')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Switzerland Switzerland00000
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

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1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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