Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Lazio |
37.24% | 26.91% | 35.85% |
Both teams to score 51.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.98% | 54.02% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.55% | 75.45% |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% | 28.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% | 63.69% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% | 28.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.27% | 64.73% |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |