We said: Monza 1-2 Lazio
Though their rhythm has been interrupted by the international break, Lazio can resume normal service on Sunday afternoon and beat Monza for a second time this season. With Immobile back in the fold, and boasting several other goal threats beside their skipper, Sarri's men should edge out their hosts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.