Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
26.51% ( -0.06) | 26.57% ( 0.01) | 46.92% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.3% ( -0.08) | 55.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( -0.07) | 76.84% ( 0.06) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.09) | 36.4% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.81% ( -0.09) | 73.19% ( 0.09) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.27% ( -0.02) | 23.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.13% ( -0.02) | 57.86% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |