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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
0 - 1
Napoli


Smalling (22'), Cristante (51'), Mourinho (58'), Ibanez (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (80')
Lozano (45+3'), Ndombele (47'), Spalletti (74'), Olivera (78'), Lobotka (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-2 Napoli

 The last two matches in this southern derby have finished level, and that streak would reach three for the first time in 27 years if two contrasting sides cannot be separated at the Olimpico. However, Napoli's slicker passing and more clinical touch in the box could prove the factors which tip the balance in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
31.09% (0.188 0.19) 26.13% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 42.77% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.40300000000001 0.4)51.79% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.349 0.35)73.55% (-0.346 -0.35)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.33500000000001 0.34)30.85% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.39 0.39)67.13% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.128 0.13)24.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.182 0.18)58.29% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Roma 31.09%
    Napoli 42.77%
    Draw 26.13%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.09%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.77%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
17.6%
Draw
13.7%
Napoli
68.7%
278
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Roma
0-0
Napoli

Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')

Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
4-0
Roma
Insigne (31'), Fabian (64'), Mertens (81'), Politano (86')
Di Lorenzo (32')

Ibanez (29'), Cristante (77')
Jul 5, 2020 8.45pm
Napoli
2-1
Roma
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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