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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Spezia Calcio logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Spezia

Raspadori (89')
Elmas (71'), Spalletti (82'), Spalletti (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyasi (45'), Dragowski (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Liverpool
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Bologna
Sunday, September 4 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Spezia

Balancing duties at home and abroad will prove a tough task for Napoli, but given their visitors' current form and their own increasing squad depth, they are set to secure a third straight victory - and their first top-flight win over Spezia at the Maradona. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 78.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 7.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.37%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (2.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSpezia
78.42% (-1.568 -1.57) 13.62% (0.579 0.58) 7.95% (0.983 0.98)
Both teams to score 50.04% (3.081 3.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.74% (1.102 1.1)32.25% (-1.107 -1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.13% (1.272 1.27)53.86% (-1.279 -1.28)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)6.56% (0.069 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.56% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)24.43% (0.188 0.19)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.55% (3.335 3.34)46.44% (-3.34 -3.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.93% (2.441 2.44)82.06% (-2.447 -2.45)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 78.41%
    Spezia 7.95%
    Draw 13.62%
NapoliDrawSpezia
2-0 @ 11.3% (-0.78 -0.78)
3-0 @ 10.26% (-0.75 -0.75)
2-1 @ 8.67% (0.242 0.24)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.19 0.19)
4-0 @ 6.99% (-0.54 -0.54)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.108 0.11)
5-0 @ 3.81% (-0.31 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.339 0.34)
5-1 @ 2.92% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.224 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.73% (-0.148 -0.15)
6-1 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 78.41%
1-1 @ 6.37% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.33% (0.385 0.39)
0-0 @ 3.05% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 13.62%
1-2 @ 2.44% (0.291 0.29)
0-1 @ 2.34% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.95%

How you voted: Napoli vs Spezia

Napoli
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Spezia
3.4%
116
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 11.30am
Spezia
0-3
Napoli

Manaj (45+10')
Politano (4'), Zielinski (25'), Demme (36')
Politano (51'), Ghoulam (66')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
Spezia

Rui (45+2'), Petagna (75')
Jesus (37' og.)
Maggiore (19'), Kiwior (48'), Manaj (51')
May 8, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-4
Napoli
Piccoli (64')
Ricci (34'), Estevez (58'), Vignali (62')
Zielinski (15'), Osimhen (23', 44'), Lozano (79')
Hysaj (6'), Osimhen (65')
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Napoli
4-2
Spezia
Koulibaly (5'), Lozano (20'), Politano (30'), Elmas (40')
Lozano (10'), Rui (61')
Gyasi (70'), Acampora (73')
Jan 6, 2021 5pm
Napoli
1-2
Spezia
Petagna (58')
Di Lorenzo (87'), Manolas (90+3')
N'Zola (68' pen.), Pobega (82')
Ismajli (61'), Pobega (65'), Maggiore (72'), Terzi (88')
Ismajli (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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