Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 7 | 14 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 9 | 14 |
2 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 7 | 14 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
35.82% ( 0.26) | 28.62% ( 0.19) | 35.56% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.49% ( -0.69) | 60.51% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.37% ( -0.52) | 80.62% ( 0.52) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.87% ( -0.18) | 32.12% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.4% ( -0.21) | 68.6% ( 0.21) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.65) | 32.29% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( -0.74) | 68.8% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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