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Serie A | Gameweek 7
Sep 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Napoli logo

AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli

Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18'), Calabria (45'), Krunic (53'), Tomori (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Rrahmani (63'), Simeone (70'), Zerbin (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rangers 0-3 Napoli
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Napoli

Despite the disappointment of Leao and Osimhen having to watch on from the stands, both sides have numerous routes to goal and should both score at least once. The Rossoneri may inflict Napoli's first defeat of the season, though, thanks to the winning mentality that made them champions in May. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawNapoli
35.82% (0.264 0.26) 28.62% (0.193 0.19) 35.56% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 45.95% (-0.566 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (-0.689 -0.69)60.51% (0.687 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (-0.524 -0.52)80.62% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.87% (-0.182 -0.18)32.12% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-0.208 -0.21)68.6% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-0.648 -0.65)32.29% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (-0.741 -0.74)68.8% (0.739 0.74)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 35.82%
    Napoli 35.55%
    Draw 28.61%
AC MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.37% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.55%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Napoli

AC Milan
51.9%
Draw
22.8%
Napoli
25.2%
206
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Napoli
0-1
AC Milan

Koulibaly (24'), Rrahmani (37'), Osimhen (77'), Ounas (90+2')
Giroud (49')
Pioli (8'), Giroud (39'), Hernandez (77'), Maignan (83'), Florenzi (90+3')
Dec 19, 2021 7.45pm
Mar 14, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
0-1
Napoli

Hernandez (86')
Rebic (90+2')
Politano (49')
Maksimovic (26'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Gennaro Gattuso (89')
Nov 22, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
1-3
AC Milan
Mertens (63')
Bakayoko (16'), Rui (81')
Bakayoko (65')
Ibrahimovic (20', 54'), Petter Hauge (90+5')
Calabria (47'), Rebic (59'), Kessie (76'), Castillejo (85')
Jul 12, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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