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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Aug 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Milan logo

Sassuolo
0 - 0
AC Milan


Frattesi (64'), Lopez (72'), Marco Ferrari (76'), Defrel (86'), Alvarez (90+7')
FT

Hernandez (27'), Saelemaekers (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

Milan have enjoyed a solid start to their title defence, claiming two wins and one draw from their opening three games. The Rossoneri are currently on a run of six straight away ways against Sassuolo and we are backing them to extend this dominant run on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 20.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
20.93% (-0.415 -0.41) 20.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 58.5% (0.43 0.43)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.632 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.63% (-0.53400000000001 -0.53)35.37% (0.539 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.6% (-0.595 -0.59)57.4% (0.6 0.6)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)30.04% (0.681 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-0.824 -0.82)66.16% (0.83 0.83)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)11.93% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.7% (-0.107 -0.11)37.3% (0.112 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 20.93%
    AC Milan 58.5%
    Draw 20.57%
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.51% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.31% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 20.93%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.1% (0.186 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.19 0.19)
1-3 @ 6.9% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.74% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 3.05% (0.058 0.06)
2-4 @ 2.21% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.56% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.3% (0.022 0.02)
2-5 @ 0.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 58.5%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

Sassuolo
9.8%
Draw
8.6%
AC Milan
81.6%
245
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 5pm
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
Apr 21, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 20, 2020 2pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Berardi (89')
Berardi (65')
Leao (1'), Saelemaekers (26')
Kessie (61'), Calabria (71'), Romagnoli (88')
Jul 21, 2020 8.45pm
Sassuolo
1-2
AC Milan
Caputo (42' pen.)
Bourabia (22'), Locatelli (34')
Bourabia (45+7')
Ibrahimovic (19', 45+2')
Hernandez (38'), Bennacer (61'), Laxalt (76'), Bonaventura (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli164751416-219
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza161781421-710


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