Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 37.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.96%) and 2-0 (5.09%). The likeliest Crotone win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Crotone |
39.83% | 22.8% | 37.37% |
Both teams to score 66.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.16% | 34.84% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.19% | 56.81% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% | 18.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.9% | 49.1% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.76% | 19.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.06% | 50.95% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Crotone |
2-1 @ 8.38% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 5.09% 3-1 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 39.83% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 2.16% Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-1 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 4.74% 1-3 @ 4.45% 2-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.47% Total : 37.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |