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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 16, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Inter logo

SPAL
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Valdifiori (46'), Murgia (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Candreva (37'), Biraghi (55'), Sanchez (60'), Gagliardini (74')
Bastoni (32'), Biraghi (54'), Ranocchia (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A meeting between SPAL and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a SPAL win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawInter Milan
13.72%18.69%67.59%
Both teams to score 52.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18%39.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82%62.18%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43%77.57%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16%10.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.09%34.91%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 13.72%
    Inter Milan 67.59%
    Draw 18.69%
SPALDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.96%
2-1 @ 3.92%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.72%
1-1 @ 8.8%
0-0 @ 4.44%
2-2 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-2 @ 10.97%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 7.25%
0-4 @ 4.52%
1-4 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-5 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 67.59%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Inter Milan
2-1
SPAL
Martinez (16', 41')
D'Ambrosio (59')
Valoti (50')
Valdifiori (57'), Julio (77'), Cionek (80'), Murgia (94')
Mar 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 27
Inter Milan
2-0
SPAL
Politano (67'), Gagliardini (77')
Gagliardini (19'), Mario (57'), Ranocchia (90')

Missiroli (29'), Petagna (45'), Valoti (57'), Felipe (63'), Vicari (90')
Oct 7, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
SPAL
1-2
Inter Milan
Paloschi (72')
Lazzari (31'), Valoti (50'), Missiroli (53'), Schiattarella (84'), Luiz (86'), Felipe (86')
Icardi (14', 78')
Vrsaljko (52'), Miranda (80')
Jan 28, 2018 11.30am
Sep 10, 2017 11.30am
Inter Milan
2-0
SPAL
Icardi (27' pen.), Perisic (87')
D'Ambrosio (30'), Gagliardini (58')

Vicari (22'), Mora (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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