Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 24, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 0Spezia
FT(HT: 0-0)
Terzi (2'), N'Zola (37')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Spezia |
| 43.15% | 25.15% | 31.7% |
| Both teams to score 56.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
