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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Milan logo

Torino
3 - 1
AC Milan

Zapata (26'), Ilic (40'), Rodriguez (46')
Ricci (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bennacer (55' pen.)
Tomori (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Torino
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 AC Milan

Only runaway champions Inter have scored more away goals than Milan's 20 this calendar year, but Torino are capable of frustrating them: a low-scoring draw is the likeliest outcome, as Toro do not lay out the red carpet for their visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.03%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawAC Milan
35.92% (-0.164 -0.16) 28.06% (-0.118 -0.12) 36.03% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.63% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.54% (0.44 0.44)58.47% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.95% (0.342 0.34)79.05% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.11800000000001 0.12)31.03% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (0.136 0.14)67.34% (-0.134 -0.13)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.401 0.4)30.96% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.468 0.47)67.25% (-0.467 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.92%
    AC Milan 36.03%
    Draw 28.06%
TorinoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.6% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 11.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.6% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.58% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.03%

How you voted: Torino vs AC Milan

Torino
16.9%
Draw
27.7%
AC Milan
55.4%
166
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Torino
Pulisic (33'), Giroud (43' pen., 65' pen.), Hernandez (45+2')
Hernandez (39'), Thiaw (70')
Schuurs (36')
Ilic (11'), Juric (50+50'), Milinkovic-Savic (56'), Linetty (89')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
AC Milan
1-0
Torino
Giroud (62')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
0-1
Torino
Adopo (114')
Oct 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Torino
2-1
AC Milan
Djidji (35'), Miranchuk (37')
Messias (67')
Apr 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
0-0
AC Milan
Lukic (14'), Pobega (31'), Juric (61')
Tomori (18'), Kalulu (36'), Pioli (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 16
 
5pm
 
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Tuesday, June 18
 
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Wednesday, June 19
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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