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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Milan logo

Sassuolo
3 - 3
AC Milan

Pinamonti (4'), Lauriente (10', 53')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Ruan (57'), Thiaw (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Leao (20'), Jovic (59'), Okafor (84')
Pinamonti (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Sassuolo
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 AC Milan

After being shut out for the first time in 30 games, Milan should be back on the scoresheet against one of Serie A's leakiest defences. It would constitute an upset for this Sassuolo side to stop the Rossoneri leaving Reggio Emilia with maximum points, and such a feat is likely to prove beyond them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
24.72% (-0.587 -0.59) 23.21% (0.064 0.06) 52.06% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 57.34% (-0.856 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.845 -0.84)43.28% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.837 -0.84)65.68% (0.831 0.83)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.8% (-0.926 -0.93)31.19% (0.919 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.46% (-1.09 -1.09)67.53% (1.083 1.08)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (-0.127 -0.13)16.66% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48% (-0.222 -0.22)46.52% (0.215 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 24.72%
    AC Milan 52.06%
    Draw 23.21%
SassuoloDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.72%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.189 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.303 0.3)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.239 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.99% (0.124 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.047 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.06%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs AC Milan

Sassuolo
11.7%
Draw
17.0%
AC Milan
71.3%
94
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 5pm
Jan 29, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 20
AC Milan
2-5
Sassuolo
Giroud (24'), Origi (81')
Defrel (19'), Frattesi (21'), Berardi (30'), Lauriente (47' pen.), Henrique (79')
Aug 30, 2022 5.30pm
May 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 38
Sassuolo
0-3
AC Milan

Lopez (37'), Kiriakopoulos (53')
Giroud (17', 32'), Kessie (36')
Tonali (34')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 14
AC Milan
1-3
Sassuolo
Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')
Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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