We said: Bologna 1-1 Udinese
Each of the last four league meetings between these clubs has ended in a draw, and a second 1-1 result of the season is among the likelier outcomes this time around.
Neither side is particularly prolific - certainly with Beto and Arnautovic both sidelined - and they stand side-by-side in the standings, so the spoils should be shared once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.