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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Milan logo

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
AC Milan

Faraoni (38')
Faraoni (45+1'), Ilic (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tonali (45+3', 50'), Florenzi (86')
Leao (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 AC Milan

With such a reliable front three, Verona should be fancied to break down even Milan's steadfast back four at some stage, but that may not prove enough to taste victory at the final whistle, given their visitors have lost only a single Serie A away game. The Rossoneri have not been prolific of late, but having Ibrahimovic back on the bench offers an invaluable option to mix things up if the game remains deadlocked in the tense final stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
26.85% (-1.227 -1.23) 24.16% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 48.98% (1.149 1.15)
Both teams to score 56.22% (-1.255 -1.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-1.201 -1.2)45.72% (1.199 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-1.152 -1.15)68.04% (1.151 1.15)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.538 -1.54)30.81% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-1.847 -1.85)67.08% (1.845 1.85)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.75% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)50.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 26.85%
    AC Milan 48.98%
    Draw 24.16%
Hellas VeronaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.8% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.85%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.483 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.402 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.32% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 48.98%

How you voted: Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Hellas Verona
14.0%
Draw
10.0%
AC Milan
76.0%
100
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Hellas Verona
Giroud (59'), Kessie (76' pen.), Gunter (78' og.)
Ballo-Toure (81')
Caprari (7'), Barak (24' pen.)
Ceccherini (5'), Kalinic (25'), Casale (38'), Veloso (54')
Mar 7, 2021 2pm
Nov 8, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-2
Hellas Verona
Magnani (27' og.), Ibrahimovic (90+3')
Bennacer (54')
Barak (6'), Calabria (19' og.)
Ceccherini (33'), Lovato (42'), Tameze (90+1')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Sep 15, 2019 7.45pm
Hellas Verona
0-1
AC Milan

Veloso (40'), Gunter (65'), Amrabat (74'), Silvestri (85')
Stepinski (21')
Piatek (68' pen.)
Piatek (24'), Paqueta (35'), Rebic (86')
Calabria (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Juventus115601971221
6Lazio106132213919
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Roma113441214-213
12Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
13Empoli1025379-211
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Como102351221-99
16Parma101631416-29
17Monza111551014-48
18VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
19Lecce11227420-168
20Genoa10136721-146


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