Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 28, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli1 - 3Parma
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Parma.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecco 0-2 Ascoli
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, October 21 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 2-1 Como
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, October 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ascoli | Draw | Parma |
39.48% ( 0.15) | 26.73% ( -0) | 33.79% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.48% ( -0.02) | 53.52% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.96% ( -0.02) | 75.03% ( 0.02) |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( 0.07) | 26.53% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( 0.1) | 61.73% ( -0.1) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.08% ( -0.11) | 29.91% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.98% ( -0.13) | 66.01% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Ascoli 39.48%
Parma 33.79%
Draw 26.73%
Ascoli | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.48% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.79% |
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 1pm
Sep 17, 2022 1pm
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
0-1
Ascoli
Dec 5, 2021 1pm
Apr 16, 2018 7.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-12-31 22:26:07
FT
Lions
40-34
49ers
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | SassuoloSassuolo | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 46 |
2 | Pisa | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 43 |
3 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 38 |
4 | Cremonese | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Juve StabiaJuve Stabia | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 29 |
6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
7 | BariBari | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Carrarese | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 27 |
9 | Modena | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Cesena | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Palermo | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
12 | Reggiana | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 24 |
13 | Brescia | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 23 |
14 | Mantova | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
15 | Cittadella | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 23 |
16 | Sampdoria | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 20 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 20 |
18 | Salernitana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 18 |
19 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 17 |
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