Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Ascoli1 - 0Perugia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Perugia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cittadella 3-0 Ascoli
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Perugia 4-0 Brescia
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ascoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | Perugia |
42.33% ( 0.01) | 27.79% ( -0) | 29.88% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
