Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari4 - 1Ascoli
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Ascoli.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Bari
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Ascoli |
45.63% ( -0.01) | 27.11% ( -0) | 27.26% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.51% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.75% ( 0.02) | 57.24% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.91% ( 0.01) | 78.09% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0) | 25.03% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0) | 59.7% ( -0.01) |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.38% ( 0.02) | 36.62% ( -0.02) |