Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.