Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reggina in this match.