Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Galatasaray had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Galatasaray win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.