We said: Fenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas
Fenerbahce are coming into this game in great form in the Super Lig, but we feel injuries to Batshuayi and Valencia will severely affect their offensive threat on Sunday.
Besiktas are unbeaten on the road against Fenerbahce since 2019, and we believe Gunes's men will continue that run with a victory this time out.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.14%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.