Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce1 - 0Sevilla
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 12 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Fenerbahce 1-1 Sevilla (Sevilla to win 3-1 on aggregate)
Given Sevilla's away form this campaign, progression to the next round is unlikely to be a formality. Nevertheless, we would be surprised if the visitors do not score in Turkey, with a competitive draw the most likely outcome in our eyes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 52.54%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Sevilla |
52.54% ( 0.02) | 23.07% ( -0.01) | 24.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
