With both teams missing some key players due to international duty and injuries, neither side are likely to be at their best on Sunday. However, we still expect to see an entertaining encounter play out, with Trabzonspor proving themselves to be the best of the rest so far this season.
As such, we can envisage them avoiding defeat against the reigning champions, who have struggled to an extent on the road in recent weeks. They are missing Icardi's predatory instincts in attack and this could see them cede further ground to Fenerbahce at the top of the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
-0.47) 
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