Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Thun had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.