MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:55:48| >> :60:787:787:
Turkish Cup | Final
Jun 11, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi (Izmir)
Istanbul Basaksehir

Fenerbahce
2 - 0
Istanbul

Batshuayi (1', 29')
Zajc (14'), Aziz (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Turuc (67'), Paulin Keny (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Cup final between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahce
Sunday, June 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Trabzonspor
Tuesday, June 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Though the pressure is piled high on their shoulders, Fenerbahce have a clear advantage in terms of both attacking options and squad depth, which could prove the difference in Goztepe. Having also seen off Basaksehir twice in the past few months, they will know what it takes to secure a win that brings silverware back to the club after several years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
66.24% (-2.662 -2.66) 18.24% (0.797 0.8) 15.52% (1.87 1.87)
Both teams to score 59.27% (2.115 2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.371 0.37)33.51% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.422 0.42)55.31% (-0.415 -0.41)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57% (-0.506 -0.51)9.43% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.31% (-1.217 -1.22)31.69% (1.223 1.22)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (2.689 2.69)34.56% (-2.683 -2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (2.756 2.76)71.28% (-2.75 -2.75)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 66.24%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 15.52%
    Draw 18.24%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.617 -0.62)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.666 -0.67)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.503 -0.5)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.29 -0.29)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 66.24%
1-1 @ 8.17% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.396 0.4)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.24%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.428 0.43)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.219 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.249 0.25)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul

Fenerbahce
87.7%
Draw
5.3%
Istanbul Basaksehir
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 6.30pm
gameweek 30
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Aleksic (30')
Pedro (88', 90+3')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Feb 5, 2022 4pm
gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
0-1
Istanbul

Crespo (24'), Ozer (38'), Berisha (72')
Ozcan (61')
Turuc (39'), Cigerci (51'), Duarte (69'), Ozcan (75')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
gameweek 5
Istanbul
2-0
Fenerbahce
Okaka (16'), Gulbrandsen (90')

Gustavo (83')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
gameweek 35
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ali Sahiner (18'), Szalai (40'), Pelkas (57')
Hakan Yandas (19'), Tekdemir (29'), Ndayishimiye (38'), Valencia (60'), Kadioglu (90+3')
Tekdemir (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!