MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:32:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 18, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
1 - 0
Danubio

Lima (86' pen.)
Galletto (58'), Gianoli (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Millan (33')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Cerro Largo
Friday, February 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, February 12 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (12.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawDanubio
30.6% (0.612 0.61) 30.41% (-0.202 -0.2) 38.99% (-0.41 -0.41)
Both teams to score 40.48% (0.665 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.22% (0.701 0.7)66.78% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.88% (0.471 0.47)85.12% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (0.88800000000001 0.89)39.23% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (0.819 0.82)75.94% (-0.82000000000001 -0.82)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (0.119 0.12)33.38% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.129 0.13)70.01% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 30.59%
    Danubio 38.98%
    Draw 30.4%
Cerro LargoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 12.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 6.29% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.73% (0.127 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.96% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.08% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 13.44% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 13.09% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 3.45% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.4%
0-1 @ 14.36% (-0.33 -0.33)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.98%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 10pm
Cerro Largo
1-0
Danubio
Tizon (25')
Romero (29')
Jun 12, 2022 7pm
Danubio
1-1
Cerro Largo
Vicente (54')
Rea (45+1'), Navarro (83')
Morales (58')
Martinez (89')
May 8, 2022 7.30pm
Danubio
2-0
Cerro Largo
Hernandez (28'), Silvera (33')
May (45')

Gianoli (24'), Bentaberry (72'), Silva (89')
Jan 16, 2021 1pm
Danubio
0-3
Cerro Largo

Romana (56')
Cayetano (9'), Borges (60', 72')
Borges (45+3'), Etcheverry (68')
Feb 16, 2020 11pm
Cerro Largo
1-0
Danubio
Borges (56')
Etcheverry (63'), Cayetano (75'), (80')

Labandeira (43'), Garcia (76')
rhs 2.0
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