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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Raúl Saturnino Goyenola

Cerro Largo
1 - 0
Progreso

Estol (81')
Max (48'), Brasil (62')
Silva (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (26')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Progreso win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawProgreso
44.06%26.23%29.7%
Both teams to score 51.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.25%52.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.62%74.38%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19%23.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02%57.98%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66%32.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15%68.85%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 44.06%
    Progreso 29.7%
    Draw 26.23%
Cerro LargoDrawProgreso
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.79%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.54%
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.7%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.91%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.7%

Head to Head
Jun 19, 2021 4.15pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
0-0
Cerro Largo
Andrada (31'), Marta (90+1')
Beltran (19'), Ferreira (23'), Cayetano (53'), Brasil (90+1')
Mar 14, 2021 9.45pm
Gameweek 12
Progreso
1-0
Cerro Largo
Martins Mungay (52' og.)
Heredia (15')

Loffreda (76'), Lew (85'), V (89')
Aguilera Davyt (56')
Nov 29, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Progreso
2-2
Cerro Largo
Silva (42' pen.), Mendez (90+4')
Gottesman (7'), Mendez (19'), Vidal (37'), Sosa (89')
Dorrego (4', 39')
Aguerre (41'), Rodriguez (55'), Sosa (66'), Dorrego (73')
Sep 12, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 12
Progreso
1-2
Cerro Largo
Roldan (19')
Ferreira (14'), Alles (21'), Riquero (82')
Fernandez (36'), Borges (74')
Brasil (25'), Dorrego (42'), Cayetano (90+2')
Nov 21, 2019 7.30pm
Progreso
0-1
Cerro Largo

Sosa (22'), Gonzalez (31'), Suarez (42'), Castillo (45'), Andrada (58'), Viega (88')
Dorrego (23')
Fernandez (34'), Dorrego (53')
rhs 2.0
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