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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 20, 2021 at 4.45pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 4
Torque

Alles (32')
Ramis (23'), Bentaberry (33'), Ferreira (36'), Arias (64')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Cejas (18', 65'), Allende (30' pen.), Alejandro Perez Etchelar (85')
Brun (38'), Alvarez (40'), Guruceaga (42'), Cejas (59')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.7%). The likeliest Progreso win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawMontevideo City Torque
22.71%22.49%54.8%
Both teams to score 57.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86%42.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46%64.54%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.72%32.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.22%68.77%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98%44.02%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 22.71%
    Montevideo City Torque 54.8%
    Draw 22.48%
ProgresoDrawMontevideo City Torque
2-1 @ 5.93%
1-0 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 3.16%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 22.71%
1-1 @ 10.48%
2-2 @ 5.56%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-1 @ 9.27%
0-2 @ 8.7%
1-3 @ 6.16%
0-3 @ 5.45%
2-3 @ 3.48%
1-4 @ 2.89%
0-4 @ 2.56%
2-4 @ 1.64%
1-5 @ 1.09%
0-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 54.8%

Head to Head
Jan 17, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 1
Progreso
0-0
Torque
Loffreda (52'), Perez (74')
Scotto (24'), Arismendi (84'), De Olivera (90+3')
Oct 18, 2020 2.30pm
Torque
1-2
Progreso
Rak (56')
Brun (36'), Del Prete (50'), Rak (65'), Allende (76')
Gottesman (16'), Peraza (83')
Asconeguy (39'), Gottesman (43'), Sosa (64')
Feb 15, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 1
Torque
1-3
Progreso
Allende (88')
Pereira (15'), Rak (25'), Coccaro (64'), Piris (69')
Pena (27')
Silva (44', 54'), Roldan (66')
(74'), (90')
Jul 28, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 2
Progreso
3-1
Torque
Colman (49', 69' pen.), Castillo (74')
Asconeguy (44'), Freitas (59')
Olivera (56')
Rak (77'), Della Nave (83'), Molina (87')
Roskopf (3')
Jun 7, 2018 7pm
Progreso
0-2
Torque

Gottesman (30'), Makuka (40'), Lemmo (44'), Colman (75'), Loffreda (86')
Lemmo (79')
Pereira (14'), Brun (50' pen.)
Scotto (42'), Mallo (52'), Pereira (63')
rhs 2.0
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