Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.