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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Bala Town logo

Caernarfon
3 - 0
Bala Town

Cleworth (11', 45'), Bradley (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stephens (52'), Smith (69'), Smith (79')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Bala Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
24.8%22.79%52.42%
Both teams to score 58.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72%41.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95%30.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82%66.18%
Bala Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19%15.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03%44.97%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.8%
    Bala Town 52.42%
    Draw 22.78%
Caernarfon TownDrawBala Town
2-1 @ 6.33%
1-0 @ 5.71%
2-0 @ 3.43%
3-1 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.34%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.8%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-1 @ 8.76%
0-2 @ 8.08%
1-3 @ 5.98%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.76%
0-4 @ 2.29%
2-4 @ 1.66%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52.42%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Bala Town
5-2
Caernarfon
Venables (20', 89'), Spittle (57'), Evans (69', 90+3')
Evans (14'), Venables (35'), Spittle (45+2'), A (45+2')
Bickerstaff (33'), Hayes (45+2' pen.)
Edwards (36'), M (56')
Mar 20, 2021 2.45pm
Gameweek 18
Bala Town
1-2
Caernarfon
Evans (16')
Kay (45+1'), Jones (53')
Hayes (47'), Mendes (70')
Williams (52'), Bickerstaff (82'), Cleworth (90+2')
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Caernarfon
1-1
Bala Town
Edwards (20')
(7'), Williams (57')
Venables (45+1' pen.)
Kay (16'), Pryce (79'), Ramsey (90')
Mar 20, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
1-2
Bala Town
Edwards (33')
(15'), (23'), (87')
Venables (67', 81')
Leslie (28'), (37'), (48'), (89'), (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1510412982134
2The New SaintsNew Saints13100339132630
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest158521961329
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU157352017324
5Barry Town UnitedBarry156452226-422
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon156362224-221
7Bala TownBala Town154831915420
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay155461815319
9Newtown AFCNewtown155462030-1019
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1532101731-1411
11Briton Ferry132291528-138
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1521121138-277


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