Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.