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Arminia Bielefeld logos
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Sep 17, 2022 at 12pm UK
Bielefelder Alm

Arminia Bielefeld
4 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Hack (1'), Serra (36'), Okugawa (48'), Lasme (85')
Rzatkowski (42'), Lepinjica (60'), Fraisl (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Muhling (59'), Bartels (68')
Sander (57'), Wahl (86')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.

Result
Arminia BielefeldDrawHolstein Kiel
41.47% (-0.61 -0.61) 25.59% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 32.94% (0.529 0.53)
Both teams to score 55.01% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.1% (-0.21700000000001 -0.22)48.9% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.199 -0.2)70.99% (0.202 0.2)
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.396 -0.4)23.4% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.61% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)57.39% (0.583 0.58)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.232 0.23)28.18% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.12% (0.29 0.29)63.88% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Arminia Bielefeld 41.47%
    Holstein Kiel 32.94%
    Draw 25.58%
Arminia BielefeldDrawHolstein Kiel
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.47%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.58%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.115 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.23% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head
May 30, 2020 12pm
Nov 3, 2019 12.30pm
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1
Holstein Kiel
Klos (33' pen.), Voglsammer (73')
Salger (72'), Seufert (81')
Iyoha (68')
Meffert (64'), Ozcan (77')
May 19, 2019 2.30pm
Dec 14, 2018 5.30pm
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Arminia Bielefeld
Serra (73')
Meffert (32'), Serra (81')
Klos (34'), Borner (81')
Apr 1, 2018 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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