Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 35.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.