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Fortuna Dusseldorf logo
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 12pm UK
 

Dusseldorf
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Appelkamp (14'), Hoffmann (19'), Ginczek (24' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wahl (63')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-2 Karlsruher
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 0-3 SV Darmstadt 98
Sunday, April 30 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 56.76%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 22% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel
56.76% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 21.24% (0.090999999999998 0.09) 22% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 60.8% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.85% (-0.601 -0.6)37.16% (0.604 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.65% (-0.653 -0.65)59.36% (0.65499999999999 0.65)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.182 -0.18)13% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.47% (-0.379 -0.38)39.53% (0.38 0.38)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-0.452 -0.45)30.11% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-0.549 -0.55)66.26% (0.55199999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 56.76%
    Holstein Kiel 22%
    Draw 21.24%
Fortuna DusseldorfDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 56.76%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.7% (0.079 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 22%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 12pm
gameweek 14
Holstein Kiel
1-2
Dusseldorf
Skrzybski (70')
Wahl (25')
Appelkamp (42'), Kownacki (82' pen.)
Feb 6, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Holstein Kiel
1-0
Dusseldorf
Sterner (90+3')
Porath (50')

Bozenik (3'), de Wijs (73')
Aug 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 4
Dusseldorf
2-2
Holstein Kiel
Narey (40'), Peterson (87')
Klarer (9')
Muhling (5'), Skrzybski (65')
Benger (45'), Bartels (58'), Arp (90')
Feb 8, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 20
Dusseldorf
0-2
Holstein Kiel

Prib (40'), Krajnc (45')
Muhling (36' pen.), Jae-sung (47')
Dehm (63')
Oct 4, 2020 12.30pm
gameweek 3
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Dusseldorf
Hartherz (16' og.), Muhling (86' pen.)
Meffert (59' og.)
Bodzek (52'), Danso (71'), Kownacki (73')
Danso (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Koln179443223931
2Karlsruher SCKarlsruher178543431329
3Hamburger SV1777339231628
4Elversberg178453122928
5Magdeburg177733024628
6SC PaderbornSC Paderborn177732924528
7Hannover178362217527
8Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf177552823526
9KaiserslauternKaiserslautern177553027326
10SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt176653629724
11Nuremberg176473130122
12Hertha Berlin176472727022
13Schalke 04Schalke175573233-120
14Greuther Furth175572433-920
15Preussen Munster173771823-516
16SSV UlmUlm172871620-414
17Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig1734101636-2013
18Jahn RegensburgJahn173212939-3011


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