Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.