Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.