Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
