Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | First Round | 1st Leg
May 14, 2022 at 7pm UK
Parkstad Limburg Stadion
Roda JC0 - 2SBV Excelsior
Klaasen (38'), Vossebelt (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Driouech (95'), Agrafiotis (120+3')
Tjoe-A-On (38'), Azarkan (38'), Wieffer (45+2'), Horemans (90'), Agrafiotis (90+3'), Nieuwpoort (93')
Tjoe-A-On (38'), Azarkan (38'), Wieffer (45+2'), Horemans (90'), Agrafiotis (90+3'), Nieuwpoort (93')
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between Roda JC and SBV Excelsior.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roda JC 0-2 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Saturday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
| 7 | Jong Ajax | 37 | 19 | 62 |
Last Game: ADO Den Haag 4-4 SBV Excelsior (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Sunday, May 29 at 5pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 54.33% | 21.99% | 23.67% |
| Both teams to score 60.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
