Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.